A Few Unconcealed Facts about Concealed Firearms
Monday, July 28th, 2008I had an English teacher one time who told me whenever I was writing a speech or a paper a good introductory technique might be to hit the reader with a witty or powerful quote — something that would really grab them and make them think. Over the years, with considerable experience attempting to make boring subjects not-so boring, I have come to regard that technique as vastly overused. After all, John F. Kennedy, Abraham Lincoln and Winston Churchill only said so many things. Therefore, on the issue of gun control and the history of gun crimes in the United States I will attempt to avoid the urge to quote everyone and everything, and indeed make only a minor reference to the 18th century French playwright who once stated that “facts….are stubborn things.”
And it is facts that we shall be dealing with today — they shall be the (I hesitate to use the word) “ammunition” with which my arguments are made. Specifically, these facts concern the effects of “concealed carry” laws on gun crimes in the United States, and on a larger scale the very nature of gun crimes in themselves.
To begin, I will invoke an intensive study published in the University of Chicago’s Journal of Legal Studies in 1997 by Dr. John R. Lott Jr. and David B. Mustard. These two investigators sought to determine whether or not allowing American citizens to be issued “concealed carry” permits for handguns would deter violent crime or actually encourage it. A detailed discussion of their methodology is beyond the scope of this post, as well as many readers’ patience, but their research used county-level data across all states with laws for obtaining concealed carry permits from 1977 through 1992. Those so motivated can read the entire report here.
The conclusion reached at the end of their research was that once concealed carry laws went into effect, violent crimes decreased in individual counties by an average of 7.65 percent for murders and between 5 and 7 percent for rapes and aggravated assaults. The study estimated that had the rest of the states adopted concealed carry laws similar to the ones then active in 31 states, a yearly average of approximately 1400 murders, 4000 rapes, 11,000 robberies and 60,000 aggravated assaults would have been prevented.
Furthermore, a related survey of inmates in 10 correctional systems came to the same obvious conclusion told to them by the criminals themselves; not surprisingly, people are less willing to barge into a home with a potentially armed resident.
In fact, the only negative effect of such laws seemed to be a noticeable increase in property crimes, which might be expected as criminals attempted to turn to less invasive crimes where they might be less likely to be shot. While it would be absurd to argue that one type of crime might be more tolerable than another it is still worthwhile to mention that the overall cost of this change in crime was actually less because it did not as frequently involve medical bills, long term mental anguish or most importantly, the value of a human life.
A recent example of this study is the small town of Kennesaw, Georgia. In 1982, in response to a town in Illinois banning handguns, Kennesaw residents passed an ordinance requiring every resident to own a firearm and keep ammunition for it on hand. While the ordinance was not enforced (or enforceable — it was simply meant as a statement in favor of property protection), since that time and despite a significant population increase there has not been a single murder in the town, and their crime rate stands proportionally lower than the national average:
Conversely, the Illinois town with the handgun ban has suffered a minor population decrease but close to a 16 percent increase in crime. Again, the logic seems simple — allow an overwhelming majority of US citizens who are law-abiding to own firearms, and those who choose to break the law tend to think twice before committing violent crimes.
Going down a slightly different path, there is also the question of whether or not guns obtained legally through such programs as concealed-carry permits still make up a significant percentage of weapons used in violent crimes. The Lott and Mustard study briefly touched on this question with statistics from Florida:
221,443 licenses were issued between October 1, 1987, and April 30, 1994, but only 18 crimes involving firearms were committed by those with licenses. While a statewide breakdown on the nature of those crimes is not available, Dade County records indicate that four crimes involving a permitted handgun took place there between September 1987 and August 1992, and none of those cases resulted in injury.
While gun crime in America is certainly nothing to marginalize or push aside, the facts support allowing trained and law-abiding citizens to carry concealed firearms and serve as a useful deterrent to violent crime. If criminals are worried about attacking someone who may be armed, and such criminals have most likely obtained their weapons illegally anyway, it is tough to argue that not allowing our citizens to be armed legally would help solve the problem.
After all, this might actually put the very people in danger strict gun-control advocates are fighting to protect. Or as my grandfather used to say, it’d be like letting the fox protect the hen house.
Change is in the air at the North Carolina GOP Convention. We elected a change-oriented national committeewoman, physician and fellow Congressional candidate